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Coach
Scouting Model

Score and forecast coaching success based on performance, tactics, and stability.

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Main Objetive

Create a scoring system (CPer) to evaluate and forecast a coach’s future success.

 

Integrates tactical compatibility, historical results, coach-club familiarity, and contractual stability.

The Problem

The Old Way

SUBJECTIVE COACH SELECTION

RELY ON REPUTATION OR PAST CLUBS

HIGH TURNOVER + INDEMNITY COSTS

NO BENCHMARKING OR CONTEXT

The New Way

QUANTITATIVE, MULTI-FACTOR SCORING

PREDICTIVE FIT + TACTICAL MATCHING

MODELED STABILITY AND RISK SCORING

DYNAMIC CLUSTERING AND COACH PROFILING

Technical Description

Input Collection

Retrieve coach performance history, tactical profile, club fit data, contract info.

Baseline Scoring (CPer0)

Calculate deviation from expected performance:

CPer0 = 1 + (PointsObtained − PointsExpected) / PointsExpected

Adjustment Factors

Adjustment Factors.

Multiply by:

  • Cfam (club familiarity bonus)

  • Cstab (contractual stability score)

  • Csim (tactical similarity to club model)

Final Ranking & Alerts

Rank coaches for hiring or renewal, flag risk-prone profiles.

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Details:

  • Coach A (+7): Highest projected impact — strong candidate for hiring or retention.

  • Coach E (+5): Also significantly above average — strong upside.

  • Coach B/D (+4/+2): Moderate improvement potential — stable and positive.

  • Coach C (-1): Negative projected impact — likely not a good fit or underperforming historically.

 

Conclusion: This visual provides a clear, quantitative summary of how different coaches are expected to influence team performance, helping decision-makers prioritize high-impact hires and avoid risky options.

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CPer Score vs. Expected Points Impact (with Baseline)

 

This dual-axis chart compares each coach’s CPer score (blue bars) against their projected point impact (green line):

  • Coach A leads with a 1.67 CPer and +7 point impact — outstanding choice.

  • Coach C delivers solid balance (1.04 CPer, +4 points).

  • Coach B is marginal (+2 points, below-average CPer).

  • Coach D scores lowest (0.65 CPer, -3 points) — high risk.

 

Key Insight: CPer reliably predicts which coaches generate above-average returns vs. expected performance — helping clubs make smarter hiring or renewal calls.

"Hiring the right coach is a science — WINNING makes it a decision, not a gamble."
Our model blends tactical data, performance metrics, and financial logic to help clubs make smarter, faster, and more sustainable decisions.

Other Objetives

Define Coach Profiles

Cluster coaches by style, results, and adaptability for better benchmarking.

Descriptive

Comparative

Evaluate Financial & Contractual Impact

Account for rotation risk, average termination costs, and financial exposure.

Strategic

Preventative

Optimize Strategic Decisions

Support board decisions with a single score that blends sporting and financial metrics.

Holistic

Actionable

Forecast Short-Term Impact (10–20 Matches)

Highlight rising coaches with strong recent momentum.

Timely

Opportunity-Driven

Benchmarking & Continuous Improvement

Continuously compare all coaches against evolving ideal profiles.

Objective

Adaptive

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